Climate Graphs and Cartoons
An open letter to the climate skeptic:
Dear Skeptic (or anyone just plain not sure what to make of this issue),
I think understanding on this issue can only be made by first realizing that there are two main types of questions we are considering in this controversy. The first type are the scientific questions, which must of course be researched, analyzed and debated without political considerations by scientific experts qualified in the relevant areas of investigation (e.g., one doesnt ask their plumber to provide advice on dentistry). The second type of questions are political, economic and/or social questions, which should be informed by the scientific expert consensus, but ultimately decided by those political, economic or social experts with experience in the relevant areas under consideration with input from the democratic process.
As to the scientific questions there are three primary questions...
Click here to read the rest of the open letter
The problem with short term trends of noisy data (Temperature and Sea Level Rise)
2000 Years of Temperature Reconstruction
400,000 Years of CO2 Levels (ice core data)
CO2 Mauna Loa Raw
CO2 Level Acceleration
CO2 Rate Of Increase
CO2 Isotopic Data
Based on what we know from the radiation forcing properties of greenhouse gases (first developed by Svante Arrhenius (1859-1927 who lived in Sweden and thought this might be a good thing!) and the isotopic compositional changes in the Earth's atmosphere, it is difficult to explain temperature increases over the last 100 years without invoking the effects of anthropogenic CO2.
Recent CO2 and
400,000 Years of Temperature and CO2 (note present day is to left side of graph)
The above graph demonstrates the close correlation between CO2 and temperture over recent geologic time. In these roughly 100,000 year ice age cycles, increased solar insolation (incoming sunlight) due to very slow changes in the Earth's orbit resulted in increases in temperature which in turn allowed additional CO2 to be released from the oceans and permafrost areas, resulting in further temperature increases in a positive feedback loop.
However, today's temperature increases over the last 100 years is due, not to changes in orbital mechanics or solar radiance (which has generally remained steady and actually decreased over the last 30 years), but to unprecedented increases in CO2 mostly from combustion of fossil fuels.
All Global Temperature Measurements Combined
Sea Level Rise
Historical Data (from oldest Dutch recordings) Plus
Recent Global Tide Gauge Measurements Plus Satellite Data
Ice Sheets Contributing To Sea Level Rise (not including thermal expansion of oceans)
Ice Cap Loss (Arctic)
Year Ice Extants Compared to Last Century
September Ice Extent From Satellite Observations
Sea Ice Loss
Ice Cap Loss (Antarctic)
Antarctic Ice Loss
Projected Rate of Increase in CO2 (note that more up to date data
shows a doubling before 2050)
Number of Weeks per Year of 100F or more Days in the US in "most likely" Projection
Got a question about climate change? I'm a chemist not a climate scientist, but feel free to write me.