Working Papers

Nowcasting U.S. Business Cycle Turning Points with Vector Quantization

with Andrea Giusto


Comovement in GDP Trends and Cycles Among Trading Partners

with Bruce Blonigen and Nicholas Sly

 

Forecasting National Recessions Using State-Level Data

with Michael Owyang and Howard Wall


Bayesian Model Selection for Structural Break Models

with Andrew Levin


Is Inflation Persistence Intrinsic in Industrial Economies? 

with Andrew Levin

© Jeremy Piger 2013