PS 201 Introduction to US Politics
Joseph Boland Fall, 1998

Voting & Elections Lecture Notes

  1. Nonvoting
    1. Americans are voting less than they used to, and less than in almost every other wealthy industrial country.
      1. Turnout in Presidential elections declined continuously from 1960 to 1992--when it rose slightly--and declined again in 1996.
        1. See chart "Voter Turnout in Presidential Elections, 1884-1996" in text, p108.
      2. Off-year elections have even lower turnout rates.
        1. See chart "Voter Turnout in Off-Year Elections, 1946-1995" in text, p108.
      3. Local elections not held at the same time as national ones have some of the worst turnout rates, typically 10 to 25 percent of the electorate.
      4. The U.S. ranks near the bottom in voter turnout among wealthy nations.
        1. See chart, "International Voter Turnout, 1960-1995". This is more extensive than the text table on p112.
        2. Notes on country comparisons:
          1. Some countries make voting compulsory. Nonvoters in Australia can be fined up to $50; Italian nonvoters have their names posted on communal bulletin boards (Fiorina and Peterson 1998, 181).
          2. Many other wealthy industrial countries have multi-party systems based on some form of proportional representation. This probably contributes to higher turnout, because every vote for a party that achieves at least a threshold percentage (often as low as 5%) of votes cast helps increase the number of seats given the party in parliament (the number of seats each party receives is proportional to the percentage of votes they received in the election).
    2. This decline in voting comes despite the abolition of racial barriers to voting (passage of the Federal Voting Rights Act in 1965 was a landmark event).
    3. The social divide between voters and nonvoters. Differences in age, income, race, and education separate voters from nonvoters.
      1. Age: Older people (45+, 63.6%) vote more than the youngest (18-24, 38.4%).
      2. Income: 72% of those making $50,000+ voted, while turnout among lower income groups ranged from 24.9% to 48.2%.
      3. Race: Whites (57.2%) vote more than Blacks (47.6%) and Hispanics (22.5%).
      4. Education: About three-quarters of those with college degrees vote, while only about half those with high school diploma and one-third of those lacking a high school diploma do.
      5. See Table 5.2, text p111. Table 5.1 gives selected cross-tabulations.
      6. The most dramatic decline is among America's "new" working class -- people who work in nonprofessional service occupations -- retail trades, secretaries, waiters and waitresses.
    4. Yet these contrasts aren't the whole story. Since 1960, almost all varieties of Americans, including highly educated and wealthy whites, vote less.
    5. What explains nonvoting?
      1. Registration as a barrier?
        1. The American system of personal registration places the onus of registering to vote on the individual voter. With each move, or in the event one does not vote in a Presidential election, one must re-register.
        2. In most other countries, national governments provide for universal registration, virtually guaranteeing that all citizens are eligible to vote.
        3. Since over three-quarters of those actually registered to vote in the United States actually do, making registration a governmental responsibility would boost turnout. Yet this approach is likely to produce limited results. These limitations can be seen in the results of the 1992 "Motor Voter" Bill, which helped increase registration by mandating that registration forms and voter assistance be available in motor vehicle and other government offices and that mail-in registration be allowed in all states. As the chart shows, between 1992 and 1996 voter registration increased from 70.6% to 74.4%, however the percentage of those registered who actually voted declined sharply, from 78% to 66%.
          1. See chart, "Voter Registration and Turnout, Presidential Elections 1976-1996".
          2. Increased registration thus does not translate into higher turnout. Moreover, even automatic registration, combined with other measures to make voting itself easier (e.g., Sunday voting) would, according to most analysts, only boost turnout by 5-10 percent.
      2. Demobilization?
      3. Declining social connectedness?
    6. Is nonvoting a problem?
      1. Elite democratic perspective
      2. Popular democratic perspective