Life in the Universe |
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Are We Alone? |
NO? YES? MAYBE? |
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Life started very early on Earth and therefore, we assume, it is easy to begin
We expect other harbors of life have been around for many billions of years more
Now, science views Earth as an insignificant speck in the vast universe
Did life arrive from Outer Space?
THEREFORE
Life = 0.01% of the atmosphere
OPTIMISTIC | PESSIMISTIC | |
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R* = rate of star formation in the Milky Way | 10/yr | 1/yr |
fp = fraction of stars with planets | 1 | 0.4 |
ne = # of habitable planets/star | 0.1 | 0.1 |
   
planet in habitable zone;     system in galactic habitable zone;     cannot include binary systems | ||
fe = fraction with life evolved | 1 | 1 |
fi = fraction where life develops intelligence | 1 | 1 | fc = fraction which choose to communicate and develop advanced technology | 1 | 0.1 | L = lifetime of such civilizations | 108 yr. | 102 yr. |
N = R*fpnefefifcL | 108 | 4 |
OPTIMISTIC | PESSIMISTIC | |
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R* - Only G stars will do | .15/yr | .005/yr |
fp - must be single star - near supernova? | .3 | very small |
Ne - must have continuously habitable zone | .2 | very small |
fe - special conditions required like large moon | .5 | very small |
fi - moving to land may require tidal pools | 1 | very small |
fe - periodic ice ages may be required | 1 | very small |
fd - how can we predict civilizations desire to communicate | 1 | very small |
L - civilizations may only search for life | 106 yr. | 102 yr. |
N | 4,500 | very small |
Claims of sightings and journeys
Occam's Razor
Many sightings are explained by optical illusions Many sightings turn out to be fraud No sign that extraterrestrials want to contact authorities - like the U.S. President Occam's Razor leads to the conclusion that reported UFO's are not extraterrestrial life |
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What should we look for?
Suppose they were trying to communicate - what frequency would they choose?
closest stars ( Centauri) are about 4 light years away and since radio signals travel at the speed of light, Centauri has been receiving these signals for about 70 years
roughly 1,000 stars have now been exposed to this emission