EVIDENCE
Evaluating Evidence
SUPER BOWL XXVII;
Violence Translates at Home
The New York Times, January 31, 1993.
If Super Bowl tradition holds, more women than usual will be battered today in their homes by the men in their lives; it seems an inevitable part of the post-game show. A big football game on television invariably becomes the Abuse Bowl for men conditioned by the sports culture to act out their rage on someone smaller.
Domestic violence expected to rise because of Super Bowl
Star Tribune, January 31, 1993.
For some women, Super Bowl Sunday means abuse;
Super Bowl Sunday brings abuse for some.
The Hartford Courant, January 30, 1993
SUPER BOWL SUNDAY LEADS TO BATTERED WIVES,
SAY ACTIVISTS
Orlando Sentinel Tribune, January 30, 1993
The Logic
- Football is a violent game
- Men watching football drink beer.
- Watching a violent game may lead to violent actions.
- Drunk men beat women.
- Large numbers of men watch the superbowl.
- Therefore, on Super Bowl Sunday, many women are physically abused by men.
The "Evidence"
Debunking the 'Day of Dread' for Women;
Data Lacking for Claim of Domestic Violence Surge After Super Bowl
The Washington Post, January 31, 1993
Ken Ringle, Washington Post Staff Writer
As the beer cools and the testosterone surges on this mega-day of
professional football, a network of feminist activists has orchestrated a
national campaign to ask males to stop beating their wives and girlfriends after
the Super Bowl.
In an effort to combat what the Associated Press and CBS have labeled a "day
of dread" for women, the organizers have prevailed on NBC, broadcaster of the
Super Bowl, to air a public service announcement against wife-beating before
tonight's big game. "Domestic violence is a crime," the announcer intones.
Despite their dramatic claims, none of the activists appears to have any
evidence that a link actually exists between football and wife-beating. Yet the
concept has gained such credence that their campaign has rolled on anyway,
unabated. Last week, it produced:A news conference near Super Bowl Central in
Pasadena, Calif., declaring Super Bowl Sunday "the biggest day of the year for
violence against women. "
Tale of fanatic abusers became the Great Super Bowl Hoax
The Tampa Tribune January 28, 1995
DAVID R. BOLDT
It was a slow news day in late January of 1993.
Ken Ringle, a reporter in the Washington Post's Style section, was trolling
through wire-service stories, seeking items for his annual roundup of offbeat
items, when a detail in a story on a feminist news conference decrying the
battering of women on Super Bowl Sunday caught his eye.
One of the spokeswomen cited a study done at Old Dominion University that she said showed emergency-room admission for battered women rising 40 percent following Washington Redskin victories.
Now this, Ringle thought, was news.
Curious, he called one of the researchers at Old Dominion and read her the
wire story. "That's not what we found at all," she told him. And though he
didn't fully realize it at the time, Ringle had just stumbled onto one of the
great media hoaxes of our day.
But the second phenomenon was that evidence supporting the "Day of Dread" hypothesis instantly disintegrated when checked. Experts said they had been misquoted; studies turned out not to exist. But Ringle kept at it. "I figured that with all this smoke, there must be some fire," he says. "I never imagined that it was all made up."
Many of the reports ultimately cited Walker, the Denver psychologist. In an
interview Thursday, she said her "report" was "informal" and never written down. (She also said she couldn't discuss the matter at length because she was busy preparing to testify in behalf of O.J. Simpson.)
Tests of Evidence
- Accuracy
Newspaper #1 reports "record low" in number of salmon spawning.
Newspaper #2 says "50 salmon return to spawn."
Advocacy organization #1 says "crisis" in salmon spawning.
Advocacy organization #2 says "significant improvement"
in...
- Recency
In 1970 there were 170,000 inmates in federal prisons.
- Relevance
- Reputation
- Sufficiency
- Internal Consistency
I do not send my son outside when he is sick with flu or measles. Why should parents want to send their youngsters with AIDS to school? You do not send let your child go to school with the measles, so keep him at home if he has AIDS.
____________
p. 3. "Studies show that 4,320,000 died from..."
p. 240. "According to experts, more than 5 million people died from.."
- External Consistency
Claim: "1.5 million children disappear each year"
"strangers kidnap as many as 50,000 children each year"
Fact: According to law enforcement agencies there are fewer than 30,000 open cases of missing children and fewer than 100 open cases of children taken by strangers.
- Comparative Quality
- Contextuality
- Statistical Validity
The Use of Polls
The New York Times
Evidence
Norms for Critical Thinking
Orderliness