Lectures and invited talks on expectations, learning and policy


Research Working Papers

  • A Unified Model of Learning to Forecast (with Christopher G. Gibbs and Bruce McGough), October 2020, PRELIMINARY
  • Are Long-horizon Expectations (De-) stabilizing? Theory and Experiments (with Cars Hommes, Bruce McGough and Isabelle Salle), April 2020
  • Learning When To Say No (with David Evans and Bruce McGough), July 2020
  • Expectations, Stagnation and Fiscal Policy: a Nonlinear Analysis August 2020 (with Kaushik Mitra and Seppo Honkapohja). This replaces earlier Expectations, Stagnation and Fiscal Policy Aug. 1, 2017.
  • Adaptive Learning in Macroeconomics (with Bruce McGough) Sept. 2020, forthcoming Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Economics and Finance
  • Agent-level Adaptive Learning (with Bruce McGough) Oct. 2020, forthcoming Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Economics and Finance. This contribution includes discussion of methodology used in research funded by NSF Grant No. SES-1559209.
  • Learning to Optimize revised April 18, 2018 (with Bruce McGough)
  • Stable Finite-State Markov Sunspots (with Bruce McGough)
  • Adaptive Learning, Endogenous Inattention and Changes in Monetary Policy (with William Branch, John Carlson and Bruce McGough)

  •                                             Published papers continued: electronic reprints available on request

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