Research and Comment on Deep Recessions, the Zero Lower Bound and Macroeconomic Policy
Expectations, Stagnation and Fiscal Policy (with Kaushik Mitra and Seppo Honkapohja), Nov. 24, 2016, with minor corrections Aug. 1, 2017. Also available as Discussion Paper 11428, 03 August 2016, Centre for Economic Policy Research. London, UK. Liquidity Traps and Expectation Dynamics: Fiscal Stimulus or Fiscal Austerity? (with Jess Benhabib and Seppo Honkapohja), 2014, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 2014, Vol. 45, 220-238. The Stagnation Regime of the New Keynesian Model and Recent US Policy, Chapter 3 in Macroeconomics at the Service of Public Policy, edited by T.J. Sargent and J. Vilmunen, Oxford University Press, 2013. Expectations, Deflation Traps and Macroeconomic Policy (with Seppo Honkapohja), in Twenty Years of Inflation Targeting: Lessons Learned and Future Prospects, edited by David Cobham, Øyvind Eitrheim, Stefan Gerlach and Jan F Qvigstad, Cambridge University Press, 2010, chapter 11, 232-260. Liquidity Traps, Learning and Stagnation (with Eran Guse and Seppo Honkapohja), European Economic Review, Vol. 52, 2008, 1438 – 1463. Typo in equation (23): sigma1 should be 1/sigma1. Monetary and Fiscal Policy under Learning in the Presence of a Liquidity Trap, Monetary and Economic Studies, December 2008, 59 – 86. Video & Economist's View link: The Dynamic Properties of New Keynesian Models, Sept. 1, 2010. VideoVox interview "Pessimism and the ZLB" in connection with presentation at July 2017 Bank of England conference, Applications of Behavioural Economics and Multiple Equilibrium Models to Macroeconomic Policy. Section 3.3.2 Liquidity Traps and Deflationary Spirals of "Learning and Macroeconomics" (with Seppo Honkapohja), Annual Review of Economics, Vol. 1, 2009. Commentary article in Register Guard, August 2, 2009, on Fiscal policy in deep recessions Earlier Register Guard guest column, Dec. 20, 2001, written during the 2001 recession: State badly needs a rainy day fund
Lectures and invited talks on expectations, learning and policy
- UC Riverside Distinguished Speaker Seminar, Nov. 19, 2018, "Adaptive Learning and Monetary Policy"
- Amsterdam conference on Expectations in Dynamic Macroeconomic Models, September 6, 2016, invited talk "Tutorial: Adaptive Learning and Monetary Policy"
- Workshop of the Australasian Macroeconomic Society, invited plenary talk, "Learning to Optimize: Theory and Applications," December 12, 2015, University of New South Wales, Sydney.
- Theory and Experimental Macroeconomics, keynote talk, "Learning in Macroeconomics: some recent developments and experimental implications", June 10, 2014, Barcelona, Graduate School of Economics.
- INEXC Paris June 2013 Conference on Expectational Coordination, invited talk on "Learning and the Stock Market: price dynamics and bubbles".
- FRB St. Louis conference on Expectations in Dynamic Macroeconomic Models, August 2 - 4, 2012, keynote talk “Adaptive Learning in Macroeconomic Models: some methodological issues”
- Central Bank of Chile Center for Mathematical Modeling, University of Chile, Santiago, workshop on Theoretical questions around the economic crisis, May 2011, invited talk on Adaptive Learning
- University of St. Andrews, School of Economics and Finance, PhD Workshop Series, March 2010 (sponsored by SIRE and GRADskills), Expectations, Learning and Macroeconomic Policy, Lecture 1, Lecture 2, Lecture 3, Lecture 4
- University Of Paris X - Nanterre, Sept. 2007, Learning and Monetary Policy, Lecture 1, Lecture 2, Lecture 3, Lecture 4.
- IMF Institute, August 2007, talk on Monetary Policy and Adaptive Learning: an overview
Research Working Papers
Stable Near-Rational Sunspot Equilibria, Feburary 2, 2018 (with Bruce McGough) Expectations, Stagnation and Fiscal Policy, Nov. 24, 2016, with minor corrections Aug. 1, 2017. (with Kaushik Mitra and Seppo Honkapohja). Also available as Discussion Paper 11428, 03 August 2016, Centre for Economic Policy Research. London, UK.
Eductive Stability in Real Business Cycle Models, revised March 5, 2018 (with Roger Guesnerie and Bruce McGough), forthcoming Economic Journal. Online version published 21 May 2018 Fiscal Policy Multipliers in an RBC Model with Learning revised April 2015 (with Kaushik Mitra and Seppo Honkapohja), forthcoming Macroeconomic Dynamics. Learning to Optimize revised April 18, 2018 (with Bruce McGough) Are Sunspots Learnable? An Experimental Investigation in a Simple Macroeconomic Model revised October 2018 (with Jasmina Arifovic and Olena Kostyshyna) Stable Finite-State Markov Sunspots (with Bruce McGough) Adaptive Learning, Endogenous Inattention and Changes in Monetary Policy (with William Branch, John Carlson and Bruce McGough)
Recent Published Papers --electronic reprints available on request
Earlier Published Papers --electronic reprints available on request
Contact me via
- Office mailing address
- Department of Economics
- 1285 University of Oregon
- Eugene, OR 97403-1285, USA
- E-mail to gevans "at" uoregon "dot" edu
- Office phone: (541)-346-4662
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