Lectures and invited talks on expectations, learning and policy


Research Working Papers

  • A Unified Model of Learning to Forecast (with Christopher G. Gibbs and Bruce McGough), October 2020, PRELIMINARY
  • Are Long-horizon Expectations (De-) stabilizing? Theory and Experiments (with Cars Hommes, Bruce McGough and Isabelle Salle), February 2021
  • Bounded Rationality and Unemployment Dynamics (with David Evans and Bruce McGough), May 2021
  • Expectations, Stagnation and Fiscal Policy: a Nonlinear Analysis August 2020 (with Kaushik Mitra and Seppo Honkapohja). This replaces earlier Expectations, Stagnation and Fiscal Policy Aug. 1, 2017.
  • Agent-level Adaptive Learning (with Bruce McGough) Oct. 2020, in press, Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Economics and Finance. This contribution includes discussion of methodology used in research funded by NSF Grant No. SES-1559209.
  • Learning to Optimize revised April 18, 2018 (with Bruce McGough)
  • Stable Finite-State Markov Sunspots (with Bruce McGough)
  • Adaptive Learning, Endogenous Inattention and Changes in Monetary Policy (with William Branch, John Carlson and Bruce McGough)

  •                                             Published papers continued: electronic reprints available on request

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